It was possible for us to attack Embiid's alternate points prop in order to increase our edge, but this is not the case with his rebounding prop.
Even though it feels riskier, it's actually the better bet. Instead of using the alternate total, you could play Embiid Over 31.5 points (-115) on FanDuel, but we actually have a higher expected value on the 35-plus prop.Īt -115, Embiid Over 31.5 points has an expected value of 11%, while at +160, Embiid 35-plus points has an expected value of 16%. We've got the narrative and the math to back Embiid for a monster game.Įmbiid is projected to score 33.8 points on Tuesday against the Celtics, so he can be priced at +125 to score 35-plus points.
If Embiid's tired of finishing second to Nikola Jokic in the NBA MVP voting the last two seasons, here's his chance. Check out our complete list of NBA odds here! NBA SGP predictions: Celtics vs.
